How does a perfume store in Qatar get repeat customers?
By reaching the customer at the moment the first purchase runs out, through a channel that does not charge per message. Almost every store has the timing data and spends the reach budget anyway.
The mechanics of a second order
Work out the median gap between first and second order. Whatever that number is, the reminder belongs slightly before it — after it, the customer has already solved the problem somewhere else.
Winning a customer costs money and selling to them again costs almost nothing, and most budgets are spent as though the reverse were true. For a perfume store in Qatar, the answer turns on one thing in particular: Bought as a gift as often as for the buyer, which makes the seasonal peaks sharper than most categories.
What is different about Qatar
Small, wealthy and concentrated — a store can reach most of the addressable market without a large budget.
Card payment dominates and delivery distances are short.
What is different about a perfume store
Discounting to grow trains people to wait for the discount. It works once.
Where a mobile app comes into it
Gifting peaks reward a channel you can reach without paying — the week before Eid is not the week to be bidding on ads.